Saturday, August 13, 2011

If Relegation worked.... College football

With the news that the SEC may be expanding to 16 teams, it is becoming very clear that money is the sole motivating factor in college football; namely, big schools want to make sure there can never be another Boise State coming up and snatching a piece of their pie. The Victoria Times solution of a 12 conference, winners meet in the playoffs style change is never going to happen. What if there was a way to make it possible for small schools to make their way back into the discussion and keep the 4 super conference structure? I am of course proposing a relegation system in college football.
First, we need to construct the divisions in their 16 team alignments. The SEC is apparently taken care of: South Carolina, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi, Mississippi State, LSU, Missouri, Arkansas and Texas A&M.
Next, we can move on to the Pac 10, which has been the subject of a 16 team expansion rumor as well. Let's finish them off at 16: Washington, Washington State, Oregon, Oregon State, Stanford, California, USC, UCLA, Arizona, Arizona State, Utah, Colorado, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas and Texas Tech.
Next, we will fill the Big 10 out, since they have 12 in place, as well as a desire to move into the eastern time zone. They do need 4 teams, so this is all speculative. The 16 included here include the last 4 are guesses: Nebraska, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Northwestern, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Penn State, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Syracuse.
This makes the final conference a bit more patchwork. Teams have been stolen from the ACC and Big East, which will mean a merger between the two will have to be executed. As luck has it, there are 16 teams left between the two. Here are the 16 that make the cut: Boston College, Maryland, NC State, Wake Forest, Duke, Georgia Tech, Miami (FL), North Carolina, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Louisville, South Florida, West Virginia and TCU. That's a messed up conference
And that's the 64 teams in the "top division" of college football. Kansas and Kansas State don't make the cut, nor does Baylor or Boise State.  By my count, there are now 60 teams left in Division 1 football, including new teams Texas State, Texas-San Antonio, UMASS and South Alabama.
My proposal is to divide those 60 into 15 team conferences functioning as a "second division" for the 4 major conferences. Relegation, of which process I will suggest later, will only occur between these 4 conferences. First, the 4 conferences.
Pac 12 second level: Hawaii, San Jose State, Fresno State, UNLV, Utah State, Boise State, Nevada, New Mexico, New Mexico State, Idaho, San Diego State, Colorado State, BYU, UTEP, Air Force. Obviously, Boise State looks like the top team in this particular conference, yes?
Big 10 second level: Kansas, Kansas State, Wyoming, Iowa State, Northern Illinois, Ball State, Central Michigan, Western Michigan, Eastern Michigan, Toledo, Akron, Bowling Green, Kent State, Miami (OH) and Ohio. The leftovers from the Big 12 should dominate this conference.
SEC second level: Baylor, Rice, Houston, SMU, Louisiana-Lafayette, Louisiana-Monroe, Texas State, Texas San-Antonio, Tulsa, UAB, Troy, Tulane, Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss, North Texas.I like Houston as the top team in this conference, but advancement is going to be tough.
ACC/Big East second level: Florida Atlantic, Florida International, Western Kentucky, Buffalo, Temple, Army, Navy, UCF, East Carolina, Marshall, UMASS, Memphis, Middle Tennessee State, Arkansas State, and South Alabama. USA gets added to this conference so the SEC second level doesn't have three newbies. This conference is just as messed up as it's first level. I don't know who is good, though. East Carolina?
All right, so the greatest problem, obviously, is getting the schools to sign on for this. Obviously, none of the schools will want this to happen. Well, none of the top league schools, anyways. The solution, of course, would be to ensure that there is no direct relegation. Instead, make it a playoff for a spot in the top division. The bottom two teams from the top division (I envision those conferences, both the top and bottom also being divided into two sub-divisions) playing each other, while the top two teams from the lower division playing each other, with the lose of the first game and winner of the second playing with their stake in the top level up for grabs.
That was tough to understand, I'm sure. Let's look at the Pac 10. Obviously, one might expect Washington State to finish last in a "Western" conference of the Pac 10, and Colorado to do the same in the "Eastern" conference. At the second Level, Boise State might win the "west" and BYU might win the "East". As a result, Washington State would play Colorado, with Colorado being the winner. Boise State would play BYU, with Boise State winning that battle. Then, Boise State would play Washington State, with the winner moving to the top division. Make sense? I think so.
So, what do you think?

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Wednesday, June 08, 2011

If relegation worked..... Major League Baseball

Continuing this brief little series on what would happen if relegation was introduced to American sports. Today, I thought we might turn our attention to baseball.

Advantages: 
Teams that have struggled for many years would continue to have something to play for year in and year out.
Baseball would be able to experiment with new markets, like Mexico City, Portland or San Juan.
An additional trophy could be added to the regular season so mid level teams could win something, with a little bit of luck.
Concerns:
Preventing off days
Having even divisions to allow for fairer relegation.
Profitability
The Idea
The best thing to do in Major League baseball is to dump the lowest two EARNING teams. Parity in baseball is less than it is in other sports, and it has a lot to do with team revenues. To start the league, we would immediately relegate the two lowest revenue teams to the second tier, and from that point forward, relegate and promote at a 4 team clip (two from the AL, two from the NL every season).
The most recent records I can find from Forbes show that the Marlins and Pirates had the lowest revenue in 2009, which makes life easier on me, because now the AL and NL are each at 14 teams.
The second division would consist of the Pirates and Marlins as well as the top 10 teams in attendance in the minor leagues last season, namely Lehigh Valley, Sacramento, Columbus, Louisville, Dayton, Round Rock, Pawtucket, Buffalo, Albuquerque and Indianapolis, as well as the top Independent league teams in each division, which are Winnipeg (good month for Winnipeg), Long Island, Quebec and Southern Illinois, for the sake of being inclusive. That puts us at 16. The remaining teams would be filled by an application process, as would the other teams in lower divisions.
Prospects for major league teams could still be stashed in lower division teams, which isn't too terribly different than the way it works today. Additionally, the potential depth of baseball divisions would allow for those teams to have major league prospects as well as their own contractually obligated players.
At this point, I feel like there could be 10 levels of baseball, and not all of them would have to be professional, and the 10th could simply be town ball teams or something like that, playing in a season ending tournament for promotion to a league with the minor league teams. Lower divisions would be divided into geographic divisions for monetary purposes.
The major leagues would not be, of course, because that isn't the way it has ever worked. Since even AAA is divided geographically, it would have to be in our relegation system as well. Newly promoted teams would be drawn into the American and National league, while the second divisions (and all other divisions) would be restructured based on geography every year.
Lastly, with all levels of baseball playing together, I can also for see a second trophy, involving many levels of baseball, played concurrently with the regular season, similar to the Carling or FA cup in English soccer. The top 7 or 8 levels play in a tournament that adds higher levels every round until MLB teams are included. It would be a chance for lower divisions to see their gate rise and would also be a substitute for interleague play, which would be rendered obsolete.
This is a much more complicated plan, of course, and I would love to flesh out some of the details if you have any questions. I was probably confusing.

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Monday, June 06, 2011

If relegation worked.... The NFL

Obviously, because of the economics of sports in America, relegation is an impossibility. There is too much money at the top levels. That said, there are some advantages to it, and I thought it might interesting to see how it could work across the various leagues here in the states, starting with the NFL. I will do it like this. provide a few advantages, explain my considerations, describe the league set up, then imagine the league as it would have been if it was like this the past 5 seasons.
Advantages: Teams not as compelled to tank at the end of the season in order to get a top pick. Additional meaningful playoff games for teams that might not have any reason to pay attention in the offseason.
Chance for faltering teams to save payroll (since that is apparently a big deal for owners) by playing in a lower division.
The best 12 teams would get in the playoffs, regardless of division.
Considerations: Maintaining a 16 game schedule
At 32 teams, the NFL could split without having to add new teams
Keeping the Super Bowl
The idea
Split the league into 17 and 15, with each team playing the others once, which means 16 games at the top level, 14 at the bottom. The bottom two teams are relegated, while the lower division champion would be promoted outright, and teams 2-5 compete in a 4 team playoff for the other promotion. The top draft pick will go to the lower division champ, then the other promoted team would pick second.
In order to keep the Super Bowl, the twelve team playoff structure would still be maintained at the end of the season. Top 12 teams in the playoffs. I would prefer it concurrently, so the league championship is paramount importance, but that would be tough. So, here's how it would have worked, starting with the 17 in the top league in 2006, followed by the two relegated and promoted teams (assuming the second place team wins the playoff) Again, 2006 would be based on the 2005 records.
Indianapolis, Seattle, Denver, Jacksonville, Chicago, Tampa, New York Giants, Carolina, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Washington, Kansas City, New England, Minnesota, Miami, Dallas, and San Diego, with the other 15 in the lower division. So, who gets promoted and relegated in 2006 and on? The 4 promoted playoff teams in parenthesees, the first the assumed winner.
2006
Relegated - Tampa, Washington
Promoted - Baltimore (Philadelphia, New Orleans, New York Jets, Green Bay)
2007
Relegated - Miami, Kansas City
Promoted - Green Bay (Tennessee, Cleveland, Tampa Bay, Washington)
2008
Relegated - Seattle, Cincinnati
Promoted - Atlanta (Miami, Arizona, Tampa Bay, New York Jets)
2009
Relegated - Jacksonville, Chicago
Promoted - New Orleans (Cincinnati, Arizona, New York Jets, Houston)
2010
Relegated - Carolina, Denver
Promoted - Chicago (New York Jets, Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville)

Tampa Bay is always in the news in this format, aren't they?
If my math is right, then we have the following in the top division going into the next hypothetical (in more ways than one) season. Teams in bold remained in their respective division through the past 5 years: New England, Atlanta, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Green Bay, New York Giants, Baltimore, Chicago, New Orleans, New York Jets, Philadelphia, San Diego, Miami, Minnesota, Dallas, Tennesssee and Cincinnati are in the top division, The bottom division constitutes the following teams: Kansas City, Tampa Bay, Jacksonville, Oakland, Seattle, St. Louis, Houston, Detroit, Washington, San Francisco, Cleveland, Arizona, Buffalo, Denver and Carolina.

Questions? Comments? Seems like fun to me.

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