Saturday, September 12, 2009

Steve's Quick NFL Predictions

So living in Arizona now, it's hard to realize the NFL season has already started, and tomorrow is the first full Sunday, since it is still over 100 degrees outside every day. I'm going to make a little more detailed picks than Ryan, but I'm still going to try to keep it quick. I'm going to use the standard that on average, 6 of the previous year's playoff teams return to the playoffs, and 6 do not...

AFC East
1. Patriots
2. Dolphins
3. Jets
4. Bills

Now that Brady and the rest of the Patriots are healthy, it is time for them to rise to the top of the division once again, but their ancient defense should be a little concerning. The Dolphins face a much tougher schedule than last year, but are still better than the Jets and Bills. The Jets are going to struggle with Mark Sanchez at QB, and the Bills are going to wallow in mediocrity or worse yet again.

AFC North
1. Steelers - Home Field
2. Ravens - Wild Card
3. Bengals
4. Browns

This one is too easy. The Steelers looked primed to win their 7th Super Bowl this year. The Ravens are good enough again defensively and bring back most of their offense to make another playoff run (and they get to beat up on the AFC West). The Bengals will be a little better than last year, but will still be pretty bad. The Browns uniform color represents something else that the team resembles on the field....

AFC South
1. Titans
2. Texans - Wild Card
3. Colts
4. Jaguars

The Titans are still extremely tough defensively, and almost knocked off the defending champs in their house on Thursday night. I'm not sure if they will be as dominant as last year, but they are still well rounded enough to take the AFC South again (as long as Vince Young stays on the bench). The Texans, I think, are going to become everyone's "sexy sleeper" pick every year now that the Cardinals finally made it to the Super Bowl after 10 years of being picked to be a lot better than they were. I'm on board with the Texans this year, though. They are able to put up points, run the ball with Slaton, and have a decent D led by Mario Williams. Ryan isn't going to like me for this, but I'm predicting a Colts implosion. Their offensive fire power is starting to fade and there seems to be a lot of locker room turmoil with the new coaching staff. I just have a feeling they are bound for a 6-10 season. The Jaguars will continue to suck.

AFC West
1. Chargers - 1st Round Bye
2. Raiders
3. Chiefs
4. Broncos

Wow, what a bad division. The Chargers can sleep walk through the season and win this division. I think of the 3 bad teams, the Raiders could be the best this year, but might finish 2nd with a 5-11 record. Kansas City has some hope with a new QB, but they are still pretty miserable defensively (like the rest of the division). The Broncos looked terrible in preseason. Kyle Orton is an interception machine and their defense can't stop anyone. They might be begging for Shanahan and Cutler to come back after this season....

NFC East
1. Eagles - 1st Round Bye
2. Giants
3. Cowboys
4. Redskins

This division is always tough to predict. I think the Eagles come out on top this year, carrying the momentum of their trip to the NFC title game last year. The Giants are going to miss Plaxico Burress, and I'm predicting it could be a rough year for the Manning boys, with the Giants barely missing the playoffs. The Cowboys will be mediocre at best in their big pretty stadium, and the Redskins are another "meh" average NFC team.

NFC North
1. Bears - Home Field
2. Vikings - Wild Card
3. Packers - Wild Card
4. Lions

It's looking like the Jay Cutler acquisition was really a great move by the Bears, and they have a chance this year to have their most explosive offensive since....I don't know, the 30s? I was going to pick the Vikings to win the division originally, but I just don't trust Favre to get them there, especially now that this division has improved. The Packers looked a lot better than a 6-10 team last year, and I think they can turn it around behind some more strong play by Aaron Rodgers to sneak into the last wild card spot. The Lions will win a game or 2 this year. I'm going with 3 playoff teams from this division mostly because of scheduling. Each of the 3 good teams get to play the Lions twice, all 4 of the NFC West teams, and the Bengals and Browns. Those 8 games alone should give these teams at least 7 wins each.

NFC South
1. Saints
2. Falcons
3. Panthers
4. Buccaneers

The previous year's last place team tends to win the division the following year in the NFC South. Guess who finished last last year? Yep, the Saints. I think Drew Brees and his laser, rocket arm will start winning more games for the Saints this year along with putting up big numbers. The Falcons will still be pretty good, but like the surprising Dolphins, will have a tougher schedule to deal with this year. I still don't understand how the Panthers were 12-4 last year.... When you fire your offensive coordinator a week before the season starts, and are statring a McCown at QB, you are going to have a rough year. Welcome to last place, Tampa, and enjoy your 2010 division title.

NFC West
1. Seahawks
2. 49ers
3. Cardinals
4. Rams

You don't know how badly I wanted to pick my 49ers here, but they just aren't good enough. The Seahawks are due for a big turnaround after just about their entire team got injured last year. The 49ers are playing motivated under Mike Singletary, but just don't have the talent to get to the playoffs yet. The Cardinals are due for a collapse (considering they weren't even that good to begin with last year) because they lost the Super Bowl, and I believe Kurt Warner's pact with Satan came to an end. The Rams.....are they still in the NFL?

Playoffs
6 returning teams: Steelers, Ravens, Titans, Chargers, Eagles, Vikings
6 new teams: Patriots, Texans, Bears, Packers, Saints, Seahawks
6 teams getting the boot: Dolphins, Colts, Giants, Panthers, Falcons, Cardinals

Wild Card Playoffs
Titans over Ravens
Patriots over Texans
Saints over Packers
Vikings over Seahawks

Divisional Playoffs

Steelers over Titans
Patriots over Chargers
Eagles over Saints
Bears over Vikings

Conference Championships
Steelers over Patriots
Bears over Eagles

Super Bowl XLIV
Steelers over Bears

Awards
MVP - Drew Brees
Coach of the Year - Jim Mora
Offensive Rookie of the Year - Darrius Heyward-Bey
Defensive Rookie of the Year - Aaron Curry

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1 Comments:

Blogger Unknown said...

So far you are so right about Carolina, oh man was that bad!

8:45 AM  

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